海南省近海莺歌海盆地CCUS适宜性和潜力

    Suitability, and storage potential for offshore CCUS in the Yinggehai Basin, offshore Hainan Province

    • 摘要: 莺歌海盆地具有实施海上CCUS工程优势,然而目前对该盆地碳封存适宜性和封存潜力认识尚不明确。基于地质、钻井和地震数据,分析了莺歌海盆地的地层温压、储盖层和沉积相特征,明确了碳封存适宜区和有利构造,并评估其有效封存潜力,结合海南省CO2排放特征,提出了海上CCUS规划建议。莺东斜坡和临高凸起满足CO2地质封存所需的温压和储盖条件,是该盆地较为适宜碳封存的二级构造单元,咸水层CO2有效封存潜力分别为2.13、1.06 Gt。同时,识别出的2个有利构造靶区HK30-3与LG20-1,有效封存潜力分别约为43、343 Mt。其中,HK30-3距海南省主要工业区直线距离仅约100 km,可作为海南省千万吨级海上CCUS示范靶区。莺歌海盆地具备开展海上CCUS所需的地质条件和十亿吨级的有效封存容量。本研究可为海南省实现碳中和目标和沿海地区探索净零排放路径提供参考。

       

      Abstract: The Yinggehai Basin offers advantages for implementing offshore CCUS, but the basin-scale suitability and storage potential remain insufficiently quantified. This study aims to assess geological suitability, estimate storage capacity, and propose a provincial CCUS planning framework for Hainan. Based on integrated geological, borehole, and seismic datasets, we analyzed formation pressure–temperature conditions, reservoir-caprock assemblages, and depositional facies in the Yinggehai Basin to delineate CO2 storage-suitable areas and favorable structural targets. Storage potential estimates were combined with Hainan Province CO2 emissions characteristics to inform offshore CCUS planning recommendations. The Yingdong Slope and the Lingao Uplift meet the temperature–pressure and reservoir-caprock requirements for CO2 geological storage and are identified as the basin’s secondary structural units most suitable for saline aquifer storage. Their estimated effective storage capacities are 2.13 Gt and 1.06 Gt, respectively. Two favorable structural targets were identified: HK30-3 and LG20-1, with estimated effective storage capacities of 43 Mt and 343 Mt, respectively. Notably, HK30-3 lies at an approximate straight-line distance of only ~100 km from Hainan’s major industrial centers and is therefore suitable as a demonstration target for megaton-to-tens-of-megatons-scale offshore CCUS in Hainan. The Yinggehai Basin possesses the geological conditions required for offshore CO2 geological storage and exhibits gigaton-scale effective storage capacity. The findings provide a scientific basis for Hainan Province to pursue carbon neutrality and for coastal regions to explore pathways toward net-zero emissions.

       

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